Think back to April 1st
for a minute.. it was definitely no joke for some landlords, as they rushed
their buy-to-let property purchases throughout late March to beat the extra 3%
stamp duty George Osborne imposed on investment properties after the 31st March
2016. As some investors brought forward their 2016 property purchases to save
the extra tax and speaking to fellow property professionals in Warrington, we
have noticed that demand to buy in the last three months from these landlords
has eased.
‘’ rise of 10.23% more
properties for sale’’
Then we had the Brexit
issue, which also had a tempering effect on the Warrington property market. In
another article I wrote previously, I spoke of the growth rate of Warrington
property values, and whilst the rate of growth is slowing, Warrington property values are still 3% higher year on year, albeit
the growth rate month on month has started to moderate when compared to the
heady days of month on month rises of 2014 and 2015. Interestingly though, a
very recent members survey of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors
states that only 17% of members believed property values would increase over
the next Quarter compared to 44% at the end of 2015.
All this had led to an increase in the number of properties for
sale in the area. For example there were
1,193 properties for sale in Warrington in December (of which 417 came on
to the market for the first time). In
January, February and March, 1,315 properties came onto the market in
Warrington – or an average of 438 per month – meaning by end of the first Quarter,
there were 1,315, properties available for homeowners and landlords alike to
buy in Warrington; a rise of 10.23% more
properties for sale. The reason this is important is because I expected the
number to be slightly lower because of the normal Spring rush in the property
market..
Nevertheless, I believe
this easing of the Warrington property market is a good thing, as investment
landlords won’t have to pay top dollar to secure a property because of the increase
in competition. On the face of it, this easing should be bad news for the 57,112
Warrington homeowners, but nothing could be further from the truth. The majority of homeowners that move, move
up market, typically from a flat to terrace/town house, then a semi and
then detached, so whilst last year you would have achieved a top dollar figure
for your property, you would have had to have paid an even higher price to
secure the one you wanted to buy. The Swings and Roundabouts of the Warrington
Property Market!
However, all the signals
suggest that whatever the aftermath of the vote to leave the EU, in the long
term, the disparity between demand for Warrington property and the number of
actual properties will still exercise a sturdy and definitive influence on the
local property market. It wouldn’t surprise me that if by 2021, even
considering the vote to leave, assuming we don’t have another credit crunch or
a major world conflict, property prices will be between 18% to 23% higher than they are today.
I have written a detailed article on the Brexit vote and the effect on
Warrington property which you can find on the blog right here – Click to read Brexit article
As always, if you are an investor in the Warrington property market and would like a second opinion on a property you have seen then send the URL of the properties you have seen online over to me or you would like to pop in and have a chat, then you can either email me on manoj@hamletwarrington.co.uk or call on 01925 235 338. Our address is 6 Bankside, Crosfield Street (opposite Iceland and Aldi – so plenty of parking available). The kettle is always on and we will even pull out the posh biscuits!
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