Warrington homeowners will be among those affected by the latest rise in the Bank of England interest rates. The first increase in 10 years; they have just been raised from 0.25 percent to 0.5 per cent. This uplift comes as inflation hits a 51-month high of 2.9 per cent whilst the national unemployment rate is at an all-time low of 4.3 per cent.
Interestingly,
the Governor of the Bank of England has indicated that the interest rate is
likely to increase again over the next couple of years, but Mr Carney said mortgages
and savings would not be affected in the short term. However, look at all the
big banks and just about all of them have increased their standard variable
mortgage rate..
The average Warrington
mortgage is £81,883
I have to
ask by how much Warrington homeowners (on variable rate or tracker mortgages) will
see their repayments increase?
In the WA1-WA5
postcodes there are 35,958 homeowners with a mortgage, of which 15,448 have a
variable rate mortgage (the remaining have fixed rate mortgages). The total
amount owed by those WA1-WA5 homeowners with those variable rate mortgages is £1,264,898,595,
meaning the average monthly mortgage payment for those home owners on variable
rate mortgages before the interest rate rise was £638.46 per month and now its
£655.52 per month … meaning
The interest
rate rise will cost Warrington
homeowners on
average an extra £204.71 per year
Whilst this
is the first raise in interest rates in over 10 years, it must be noted it is
at a significantly low level compared to figures in the 1970s and early 1990s. Many
of my readers talk of interest rates at 17 per cent when Sir Geoffrey Howe
increased them to try and combat the hyperinflation (from the fallout of the
financial crisis that hit Britain in the 1970’s) and Norman Lamont in September
1992 with the infamous Black Wednesday crisis, when interest rates were raised
from 10% to 15% in just one day.
So,
what will this interest rate actually do to the Warrington housing market?
Well,
if I’m being frank – not a great deal. The proportion of Warrington homeowners with variable rate
mortgages (and thus directly affected by a Bank of England rate rise) will be
smaller than in the past, in part because the vast majority of new mortgages in
recent years were taken on fixed interest rates. The proportion of outstanding
mortgages on variable rates has fallen to a record low of 42.3 per cent, down
from a peak of 72.9 per cent in the autumn of 2011.
If more Warrington people are protected
from interest rate rises, because they are on a fixed rate mortgage, then there
is less chance of those Warrington people having to sell their Warrington
properties because they can’t afford the monthly repayments or even worse case
scenario, have them repossessed.
However, and this will be of interest
to both Warrington homeowners and Warrington buy to let landlords …
.. for every 1%
increase in the Bank of England interest rate, it will cost the average Warrington
homeowner on a variable rate mortgage £68.24 per month
So, what
next? Because UK inflation levels are at 2.9 per cent (the country’s highest rate since April 2012) and the Bank of England is tasked by
HM Government to keep inflation at 2 per cent using various monetary tools (one
of which is interest rates) – you can see why interest rate rises might be on
the cards in the future as increasing interest rates tends to dampen inflation.
Now of course there is a certain amount of uncertainty with regard to Brexit and the negotiations thereof, but fundamentally the British economy is in decent shape. People will always need housing and as we aren’t building enough houses (as I have mentioned many times in the Warrington Property Blog), we might see a slight dip in prices in the short term, but in the medium to long term, the Warrington property market will always remain strong for both Warrington homeowners and Warrington landlords alike.
Now of course there is a certain amount of uncertainty with regard to Brexit and the negotiations thereof, but fundamentally the British economy is in decent shape. People will always need housing and as we aren’t building enough houses (as I have mentioned many times in the Warrington Property Blog), we might see a slight dip in prices in the short term, but in the medium to long term, the Warrington property market will always remain strong for both Warrington homeowners and Warrington landlords alike.
If you are a landlord who may have a void property over winter, then feel free to get in touch and let us at Hamlet Homes provide you with a fully reference checked and credit checked tenant in your property before the weather gets even colder, to ensure your property is protected.
Email me on manoj@hamletwarrington.co.uk or call on 01925 235338. If you are in the area, feel free to pop into the office – we are based on G5, Warrington Business Park, Long Lane, WA2 8TX. There is plenty of free parking and the kettle is always on.
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