As we go full steam ahead
into 2019, it’s certain that the Warrington housing market in 2018 was a little
more restrained than 2016 and 2017 and I believe this will continue into 2019. Property
ownership is a medium to long term investment so, looking at the long-term, the
average Warrington homeowner, having owned their property since the Millennium,
has seen its value rise by more than 152%.
This
is important, as house prices are a national obsession and tied into the health
of the UK economy as a whole. The preponderance of that historical gain in Warrington
property values has come from the growth in Warrington property values, while
some of it will have been enhanced by extending, modernising or developing
their Warrington home.
Taking
a look at the different property types in Warrington, and the profit made by
each type, makes interesting reading..
However, we can’t forget there has been just over 60%
inflation over those 18 years, which eats into the ‘real’ value (or true
spending power of that profit) … so if we take into account inflation since
2000, the true spending power of that profit has been lower.
So the ‘real’ value
of the profit, after inflation, in Warrington has been £3,143 per year.. still
nothing to sniff at.
I wanted to show you that even though we had the 2008/09
Credit Crunch property market crash where, depending on the type of Warrington
property, property values dropped between 15% and 20% in 18 months … Warrington
homeowners over the long term are still better off than those renting.
Moving forward, the question I get asked time and again is
what will happen in the future to the Warrington Property market? Irrespective
of what is happening in the World, Europe or even Central London, the biggest
factor over the medium to long term to ensure that this level
of house price growth is maintained in Warrington is the
building of new homes both locally and in the country as a whole. Whilst we
haven’t had the 2018 stats yet, Government sources suggest this will be nearer
180,000 to 190,000, a decrease from the 2017 figure of 217,350 new households
being created. When you consider that we need to build 240,000 households to
equal demand (immigration, people living longer, higher divorce rates and
people co-habiting later in life etc) … demand will outstrip supply and unless
the Government start to spend billions building council houses .. this trend
will continue for years (and decades to come).
Another factor is that whilst Warrington landlords have been
hit with higher taxes to enable them to actually be a landlord most, in every
national survey, still intends to increase their portfolio in the medium to
long term. The youngsters of Warrington see renting as a choice, giving them
flexibility and options that being tied to a home cannot give… thus meaning
demand will continue to grow and landlords will be able to enjoy increased
rents and capital growth, although those very same Warrington buy to let
landlords will have to work smarter in the future to continue to make decent
returns (profits) from their buy to let investments. Even with the tempering of house price inflation in Warrington
in 2018, most Warrington buy to let landlords (and homeowners) are still
sitting on a copious amount of growth from previous years.
The question is, how do you, as a Warrington buy to let
landlord, ensure that continues?
Since the 1990’s, making money from investing in buy to let
property was as easy as falling off a log. Looking forward though, with all the
changes in the tax regime and balance of power, making those similar levels of
return in the future won’t be so easy. Over the last ten years, I have seen the
role of the forward thinking agents evolve from a person collecting the rent to
a more all-inclusive role; I call it, ‘strategic portfolio leadership’.
Thankfully, along with myself, there are a handful of agents in Warrington whom
I would consider exemplary at this landlord portfolio strategy where they can
give you a balanced structured overview of your short, medium and long-term goals,
in relation to your required return on investment, yield and capital growth
requirements. If you would like such advice, speak with your current agent – whether
you are a landlord of ours or not – without any cost or commitment, feel free
to drop me a line.
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional and communicative, whether you’re buying, selling or looking for an investment opportunity, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of the Warrington property market.Email me on manoj@hamletwarrington.co.uk or call on 01925 235 338 – we are based on the Warrington Business Park, Long Lane, WA2 8TX. There is plenty of free parking and the kettle is always on.
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